Super Bowl 50 Prop Bets Picks

By Shayne Stuart
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Updated: February 5, 2016

Shayne:

Every Super Bowl for roughly the last 10 years or so I make a bunch of prop bets on the game to make the game more interesting and to try and make a few bucks. Last year I was very successful in my prop bets and this year I hope to do the same. So here are my favorite bets I made, and would advise you to make the same.

Ted Ginn OVER 47.5 receiving yards

Graham Gano OVER 1.5 FGs MADE

Peyton Manning first half INT YES +105

Ronnie Hillman UNDER 38.5 rushing yards

Ronnie Hillman UNDER 11.5 carries

Combined OVER 5.5 sacks between both teams

Panthers First quarter TD YES +120

Ted Ginn OVER 100 receiving yards +400.

I made a lot more bets but these are the ones I like the most and wanted to share, if you want to discuss any find me on Twitter.

Kevin:

I got this list from SB Nation. They put it up a few days ago, so the lines may have changed a bit. Regardless, here are my picks for this year’s prop bets.

Will Peyton Manning announce his retirement in the postgame interview?

Yes +500 (5/1)

No -1000 (1/10)

(Must be on live broadcast.)

My pick: No. I don’t think Peyton’s done. If I thought Denver was going to win the game, I’d really think about going yes on this one, though.

Will Peyton Manning be seen crying at any point during the entire broadcast?

Yes +600 (6/1)

No -1200 (1/12)

(Live pictures only, must clearly see a tear.)

My pick: No. Again, I don’t think he’s done.

How many times will “dab” or “dabbing” be said by the announcers during the broadcast?

Over 2 (EVEN, 1/1)

Under 2 (-140, 5/7)

(From kickoff to final whistle, halftime does not count.)

My pick: Over. It’s Nantz and Simms. They’ll beat this into the ground.

If Steph Curry is shown on TV during the broadcast what will he be wearing?

Personalized Carolina Steph Curry Jersey – 1/1

No Jersey – 2/1

Cam Newton Jersey – 3/1

Any Other Carolina Jersey – 5/1

My pick: No jersey.

Will Mike Carey be wrong about a challenge?

Yes +110 (11/10)

No -150 (2/3)

(He must be consulted on live broadcast and must clearly take a stance on his position. If not consulted wagers will be No Action.)

My pick: Yes. Mike Carey is bad at this, you guys.

Will there be an earthquake during the game?

Yes 10/1

(Announcer must indicate there was during live broadcast from kickoff until final whistle.)

My pick: There wasn’t a line for no, but I’m going with no.

Will the Panthers player who scores their first TD give the football to a boy or girl?

Boy -200 (1/2)

Girl +150 (3/2)

My pick: Boy. I just think there will be more boys than girls at the game.

How many times will the Golden Gate Bridge be shown during the broadcast?

Over 0.5 -300 (1/3)

Under 0.5 +200 (2/1)

(From kickoff to final whistle, halftime does not count.)

My pick: Over. It’s gotta make the broadcast at least once.

How many times will “John Fox” be said during the broadcast?

Over 1 (-140, 5/7)

Under 1 (EVEN, 1/1)

(From kickoff to final whistle, halftime does not count.)

My pick: Over. It will be mentioned at least once. Since the line is exactly 1, I’ll guess it gets mentioned a second time.

How many times will Archie Manning be shown on TV during the broadcast?

Over 1.5 EVEN (1/1)

Under 1.5 -140 (5/7)

(From kickoff to final whistle, halftime does not count.)

My pick: Uhh, over, I think. Archie’s gotta make it on camera at least twice, right?

How many times will John Elway be shown on TV during broadcast?

Over 2.5 EVEN (1/1)

Under 2.5 -140 (5/7)

(From kickoff to final whistle, halftime does not count.)

My pick: I’ll go under on this one. Twice seems about right.

Will the announcers mention that Kubiak was Elway’s backup during the broadcast?

Yes +120 (6/5)

No -160 (5/8)

(From kickoff to final whistle, halftime does not count.)

My pick: Yes. Someone will bring it up one of the times they show Elway.

What color will the liquid be that is poured on the winning coach?

Orange – 5/4

Blue – 3/1

Clear – 4/1

Yellow – 4/1

Red – 6/1

Green – 10/1

Purple – 10/1

My pick: Blue.

Which song will Coldplay play first during the halftime show?

Adventure of a Lifetime – 2/1

Fix You – 7/2

A Sky Full of Stars – 9/2

Viva la Vida – 5/1

Clocks – 15/2

Speed of Sound – 9/1

Head Full of Dreams – 10/1

Paradise – 10/1

My pick: Adventure of a Lifetime. It’s their newest single and would be an upbeat way to start the show.

What color will Beyonce’s footwear be when she comes on stage for the halftime show?

Black – 3/2

Gold/Brown – 5/2

White – 11/4

Silver/Grey – 19/4

Any Other Color – 7/1

(Predominant color will be graded winner.)

My pick. Black. Shot in the dark.

Will “Left Shark” make an appearance on stage during the Super Bowl halftime show?

Yes – 15/1

My pick: Yes. He was at the festivities this week, I think he makes an appearance.

How many million viewers will Super Bowl 50 have?

Over/Under – 117 million

My pick: Under. The record was set last year at 114.4 million. Before that, the record was 112.2 million. It was a big jump from the old record to the new one, and a bigger jump would be needed to get to 117 million. I don’t think it happens.

What will the Nielsen Rating be for Super Bowl 50?

Over/Under – 48.5

My pick: Under. The highest rating for a Super Bowl since Super Bowl XX was last year’s game, which got a 47.5, and set viewership records in the process. A full point jump is a lot.

Which region will have a higher Nielsen Rating?

Denver: -140 (5/7)

Charlotte: EVEN (1/1)

My pick: Charlotte. Smaller market, and the fans are into the team this year.

How many wings will Buffalo Wild Wings sell on Super Bowl Day?

Over/Under – 12 million

My pick: Over. If they average 12 wins per guest, they’d need to average about 900 guests at each of their locations (1111 so says Wikipedia). This says “Super Bowl Day,” so over the course of an entire day, that seems doable.

Coin Toss

Heads: -105 (20/21)

Tails: -105 (20/21)

My pick: Tails. I always go with tails.

Will the referee redo the coin toss?

Yes – 20/1

My pick: No. I know it’s the ref that had it happen in Arizona, but what are the chances it happens again?

Will the team that chooses heads or tails in the coin toss be correct?

Yes: -105 (20/21)

No: -105 (20/21)

My pick: Yes. Why not?

Team to win the coin toss

Carolina Panthers: -105 (20/21)

Denver Broncos: -105 (20/21)

My pick: I think Denver’s calling the coin toss and I said whoever calls it is going to win it, so Denver.

Will the team that wins the coin toss win the game?

Yes: -105 (20/21)

No: -105 (20/21)

My pick: No. Picked Denver to win the toss, Carolina to win the game.

Team to score first in the game

Carolina Panthers: -150 (2/3)

Denver Broncos: +120 (6/5)

My pick: Panthers.

Will the team that scores first win the game?

Yes: -160 (5/8)

No: +130 (13/10)

My pick: Yes, see above.

Total Team Points – Carolina Panthers

Over/Under – 24½

My pick: Over.

Total Team Points – Carolina Panthers – First Half

Over/Under – 11½

My pick: Over.

Total Team Points – Denver Broncos

Over/Under – 20

My pick: Under.

Total Team Points – Denver Broncos – First Half

Over/Under – 9½

My pick: Under.

Will there be a score in the first 7m30s of the 1st quarter?

Yes: -160 (5/8)

No: +130 (13/10)

My pick: Yes.

Will there be a score in the first 1m30s of the 1st quarter?

Yes: +1000 (10/1)

No: -2500 (1/25)

My pick: No.

Which will be the highest scoring quarter?

1st Quarter – 5/1

2nd Quarter – 8/5

3rd Quarter – 9/2

4th Quarter – 5/2

My pick: 3^rd Quarter. Like the odds and Carolina’s been known to give up points coming out of the half.

Will either team score 3 unanswered times in the game?

Yes: -220 (5/11)

No: +175 (7/4)

My pick: Yes.

Will there be a score in the final 2 minutes of the 1st half?

Yes: -280 (5/14)

No: +220 (11/5)

My pick: Yes.

Longest touchdown yardage in the game

Over/Under – 44½

My pick: Under.

Will there be a penalty for excessive celebration?

Yes: +250 (5/2)

No: -400 (1/4)

My pick: Yes. I could see Carolina scoring late to essentially seal the game and having some fun in the end zone.

Will either backup QB take a snap in the game?

Yes: +200 (2/1)

No: -300 (1/3)

My pick: No.

Total successful field goals

Over/Under – 3½

My pick: Under.

Longest successful field goal in the game

Over/Under – 44.5 Yards

My pick: Over.

Will there be a missed extra point?

Yes: +325 (13/4)

No: -450 (2/9)

My pick: No.

Total QB sacks (Both teams combined)

Over/Under – 5½

My pick: Over.

Will a special teams or defensive TD be scored?

Yes: +150 (3/2)

No: -180 (5/9)

My pick: Yes. More on that later.

Will the Panthers rush for a 100 Yards or more for a 32nd straight game?

Yes: -500 (1/5)

No: +300 (3/1)

My pick: Yes. They have too many rushing options to not get there.

Total number of penalties made in the game by both teams

Over/Under – 12½

My pick: Over. More on that later.

Total number of penalties assessed on the Carolina Panthers

Over/Under – 6

My pick: Under.

Total number of penalties assessed on the Denver Broncos

Over/Under – 6½

My pick: Over. Denver was tied for the 6^th-most penalties in the league in 2015 and averaged 7.875/game.

Margin of Victory

Panthers by 1-6 points – 3/1

Panthers by 7-12 points – 4/1

Panthers by 13-18 points – 11/2

Panthers by 19-24 points – 9/1

Panthers by 25-30 points – 16/1

Panthers by 31-36 points – 25/1

Panthers by 37-42 points – 40/1

Panthers by 43+ points – 50/1

Broncos by 1-6 points – 4/1

Broncos by 7-12 points – 8/1

Broncos by 13-18 points – 12/1

Broncos by 19-24 points – 25/1

Broncos by 25-30 points – 50/1

Broncos by 31-36 points – 75/1

Broncos by 37-42 points – 100/1

Broncos by 43+ points – 100/1

My pick: Panthers by 13-18.

Odds to Win MVP

Cam Newton – 5/7

Peyton Manning – 11/4

Luke Kuechly – 14/1

C.J. Anderson – 20/1

Ted Ginn Jr. – 20/1

Von Miller – 20/1

Greg Olsen – 22/1

Emmanuel Sanders – 22/1

Jonathan Stewart – 22/1

Demaryius Thomas – 22/1

Josh Norman – 28/1

Aqib Talib – 33/1

DeMarcus Ware – 33/1

Corey Brown – 66/1

Owen Daniels – 66/1

Graham Gano – 66/1

Ronnie Hillman – 66/1

Brandon McManus – 66/1

Darian Stewart – 66/1

Danny Trevathan – 66/1

Chris Harris Jr. – 75/1

Devin Funchess – 100/1

Brandon Marshall – 100/1

Derek Wolfe – 100/1

Kurt Coleman – 150/1

Mike Tolbert – 150/1

Field – 33/1

My pick: Luke Kuechly. Like the odds, and I’m going to predict a pick-six for him.

Who will the Super Bowl MVP mention first?

God – 2/1

Team – 2/1

City/Fans – 6/1

Coach – 15/2

Family – 15/1

Does not Mention Anyone above – 9/4

My pick: Team. Kuechly, being a defensive player, seems like the kind of guy to go that route.

First Touchdown Scorer

Cam Newton (CAR) – 7/1

Greg Olsen (CAR) – 15/2

Jonathan Stewart (CAR) – 8/1

C.J. Anderson (DEN) – 9/1

Emmanuel Sanders (DEN) – 9/1

Demaryius Thomas (DEN) – 9/1

Ted Ginn Jr. (CAR) – 10/1

Corey Brown (CAR) – 14/1

Owen Daniels (DEN) – 14/1

Ronnie Hillman (DEN) – 14/1

Mike Tolbert (CAR) – 16/1

Jerricho Cotchery (CAR) – 20/1

Devin Funchess (CAR) – 20/1

Andre Caldwell (DEN) – 25/1

Jordan Norwood (DEN) – 25/1

Ed Dickson (CAR) – 33/1

Peyton Manning (DEN) – 50/1

No touchdown scorer – 66/1

Field – 11/2

My pick: Devin Funchess. Because Go Blue.

Will Peyton Manning throw a Pick 6 in the game?

Yes: +300 (3/1)

No: -500 (1/5)

My pick: Yes.

Will Cam Newton break the Super Bowl record of most rushing yards by a QB?

Yes: +275 (11/4)

No: -450 (2/9)

(The record is 64 by Steve McNair in Super Bowl XXXIV.)

My pick: No.

Total Passing Yards – Peyton Manning (DEN)

Over/Under – 235½

My pick: Under.

Total Passing Yards – Cam Newton (CAR)

Over/Under – 240½

My pick: Over.

Total Touchdown Passes – Cam Newton (CAR)

Over – 1½ (-180, 5/9)

Under – 1½ (+150, 3/2)

My pick: Over.

Total Touchdown Passes – Peyton Manning (DEN)

Over – 1½ (-135, 20/27)

Under – 1½ (+105, 21/20)

My pick: Under.

Cam Netwon and Peyton Manning Specials (My picks in bold italics.)

Cam Newton records 300 or more Passing Yards – 7/2

Cam Newton records 350 or more Passing Yards – 9/1

Cam Newton records 50 or more Rushing Yards – 3/2

Cam Newton records 100 or more Rushing Yards – 12/1

Cam Newton records 25 or more Completions – 5/1

Cam Newton scores a Rushing TD and Carolina win the game – 2/1

Peyton Manning records 300 or more Passing Yards – 7/4

Peyton Manning records 350 or more Passing Yards – 5/1

Peyton Manning records 30 or more Completions – 15/2

Total Rushing Yards – Cam Newton (CAR)

Over/Under – 39½

My pick: Over.

Total Rushing Yards – Ted Ginn Jr. (CAR)

Over/Under – 5½

My pick: Over.

Will Luke Kuechly record a pick 6 in the game?

Yes: +600 (6/1)

No: -1200 (1/12)

(Kuechly had a pick 6 in both playoff games this year.)

My pick: Yes. How many times do I need to say yes to this one?

Total Sacks – Von Miller (DEN)

Over ½ (-225, 4/9)

Under ½ (+180, 9/5)

My pick: Over.

What will be higher?

Trump % Points in the New Hampshire Primary -200 (1/2)

Total Points scored by the winning Super Bowl team +150 (3/2)

My pick: Points by winning team. I had Carolina 34-17. I don’t think Trump gets 34% in New Hampshire.

Exact Outcome

Carolina wins Super Bowl – Trump Wins 2016 Presidential Election 13/4

Carolina wins Super Bowl – Clinton Wins 2016 Presidential Election 7/4

Carolina wins Super Bowl – Sanders Wins 2016 Presidential Election 5/1

Denver wins Super Bowl – Trump Wins 2016 Presidential Election 7/1

Denver wins Super Bowl – Clinton Wins 2016 Presidential Election 9/2

Denver wins Super Bowl – Sanders Wins 2016 Presidential Election 10/1

My pick: Carolina and Bernie. Need Bernie to hit the dab on election night.

Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2016 Super Bowl and the Golden State Warriors win the 2015-2016 NBA Title?

Yes 2/1

My pick: Yes.

Will Denver win Super Bowl, Peyton Manning Retires, San Antonio wins NBA Championship, Tim Duncan Retires?

Yes 20/1

My pick: No.

What will be higher?

DeMarcus Cousins Points and Rebounds Feb. 7

Cam Newton Rushing Yards

My pick: Cam’s rushing yards.

What will be higher?

Total Goals in the Montreal vs Carolina NHL game on Feb. 7

Total Receptions by Greg Olsen

My pick: Goals in MTL vs. CAR. Don’t have much faith in any of the goalies in that one. Could see 6 or 7 total goals. Olson will get some catches, but I don’t know if he’ll get that many.

What will be higher?

Tiger Woods 1st Round score at 2016 Masters

Emmanuel Sanders Receiving Yards

My pick: Tiger at the Masters.

What will be higher?

Arsenal Total Goals on Feb. 7

Peyton Manning TD Passes

My pick: Look, I know nothing about soccer, but I said one TD pass for Manning, and looking at Arsenal’s games this year (or, sorry, matches I think they’re called in soccer (and, yes, the sport’s called soccer, football’s the thing they’re playing in the Super Bowl and is the greatest game in the world)), they’ve scored 2 or more more than they’ve been shut out (is there a special term for that in soccer?).

Twitter: @KSchroeder2325 (Kevin), @sugashayne3 (Shayne)

E-mail: schroeder.giig@gmail.com

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