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NFL Picks: 2020 Week 16
- Updated: December 25, 2020
Last week: 12-4 straight up, 7-8-1 against the spread, 1-1-1 best bets, 0-0-1 lock of the week
Season: 144-77-1 straight up, 103-112-7 against the spread, 21-25-3 best bets, 7-7-1 lock of the week
Lines for this week’s NFL games come from DraftKings, except for lines marked with an asterisk, which are consensus lines because the game is not on the board at DraftKings at the time of writing. Bold indicates a best bet. Bold and italic indicates the lock of the week.
|
Away |
Line |
Home |
Straight Up |
Against the Spread |
| Minnesota |
+7 |
New Orleans | New Orleans | New Orleans |
| Tampa Bay |
-9.5 |
Detroit | Tampa Bay | Tampa Bay |
| San Francisco |
+5 |
Arizona | San Francisco | San Francisco |
| Miami |
-3 |
Las Vegas | Miami | Miami |
| Denver |
+3.5 |
Los Angeles Chargers | Los Angeles Chargers | Denver |
| Cleveland |
-10 |
New York Jets | Cleveland | Cleveland |
| Cincinnati |
+7.5 |
Houston | Houston | Cincinnati |
| Indianapolis |
-1 |
Pittsburgh | Indianapolis | Indianapolis |
| Chicago |
-7.5 |
Jacksonville | Chicago | Chicago |
| Carolina |
+1* |
Washington | Carolina | Carolina |
| New York Giants |
+10.5 |
Baltimore | Baltimore | New York Giants |
| Atlanta |
+10.5 |
Kansas City | Kansas City | Kansas City |
| Los Angeles Rams |
+1 |
Seattle | Los Angeles Rams | Los Angeles Rams |
| Philadelphia |
-2.5 |
Dallas | Philadelphia | Philadelphia |
| Tennessee |
+3.5 |
Green Bay | Tennessee | Tennessee |
| Buffalo |
-7 |
New England | Buffalo | Buffalo |
If you’re on mobile and the chart isn’t displaying correctly, here’s an image. Click to embiggen.
Three best bets this week. We’ll lead off in Jacksonville, where the Jaguars find themselves leading the Trevor Lawrence sweepstakes after the Jets pulled a huge upset last week in L.A. over the Rams. The Bears come to town having figured out their offense, scoring 30+ each of the past three weeks. While the Bears can’t afford to take the Jags lightly, I like the team competing for a playoff berth to cover 7.5 against a team that might not be too upset with a loss here and I’m making this my lock of the week.
Staying in the NFC North, the Packers welcome the Tennessee Titans to town Sunday night. The Packers have struggled to stop the run all year and will have their hands full with one of the best backs in the NFL, Derrick Henry. While Aaron Rodgers should be able to light it up against a Titans pass defense that ranks as one of the worst in the league in DVOA, ultimately, I’m rolling with Henry and the Titans on what looks to be a cold, snowy Wisconsin night.
Lastly, I like Indianapolis over Pittsburgh. The Steelers looked absolutely dreadful against the Bengals and have one fewer day to regroup. Just about everything Roethlisberger threw was in danger of getting picked or getting his receiver killed or both. The Colts beat a fishtailing Pittsburgh outfit.
Merry Christmas!
Twitter: @KSchroeder_312
